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Thriving economies in southern Mediterranean PDF Print E-mail
Written by Sheila Moorcroft, Research Director, Shaping Tomorrow   
Wednesday, 22 October 2008

The Mediterranean Union was launched in July 2008, but greeted with a certain amount of scepticism after its aims were watered down.  Meanwhile, investment in the region is growing and so too are the ten MEDA country economies.

What is changing?

The meeting in July brought 43 countries together, the EU plus a further 16 from around the rim of the Mediterranean and the Baltic region, and breathed new life into the EU’s Barcelona process to encourage development in the Southern Mediterranean region.

The MEDA ten - Algeria, Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, Morocco, Syria and Tunisia, Turkey,  the Palestinian Authority and Israel – account for about 4% of the world’s population.They have been attracting significant amounts of Foreign Direct Investment from a variety of sources, in particular other emerging nations whose investments are often more closely linked in with the local economy than Western approaches to investment and oil rich economies. Direct investment into Algeria and Morocco, for example has grown tenfold, in 5 years.  In total, MEDA inward investment is second only to China – just under $60 billion compared with $70 billion into China in 2006.


Why is this Important?

Average GDP per capita in the MEDA at present is about $6200 – similar to Europe in the 1950s. Whereas EU countries have invested heavily in Eastern Europe, they have tended to regard the MEDA more as a problem than an opportunity – illegal immigration being top of the list.   The MEDA economies meanwhile are improving – lower inflation, lower debt and smaller budget deficits – and wages that are about one fifth of the EU’s.

There needs to be a step change in development if personal incomes are to rise at anything but snail's pace. The new inward investment wave may provide that impetus.  It may also encourage the MEDA countries to trade and collaborate more as a regional group, and encourage greater political stability.

Signs of change are there: the new port – Tanger Med – in Morocco is already bigger than Felixstowe in the UK, and second only to Rotterdam- it aims to handle 8.5 million containers by 2015; Tata Motors is also investing in Morocco; South Koreans in Tunisia;  and a Nissan Renault collaboration is investing $600 million in a new global car plant also in Morocco. A new region may be emerging.More information at www.shapingtomorrow.co.uk
Last Updated ( Wednesday, 22 October 2008 )
 
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